STRUCTURAL RISK
Ukraine, tariffs, U.S.–China decoupling — Coface's 2025 risk index hit an all-time peak. 80% of multinationals now plan to adopt political risk tools.
The Bloomberg Terminal for Prediction Markets
The world’s risk, quantified live. We build intelligence that moves before headlines.
v.01 / Experimental Build
00 / Why This Matters
WHY THIS MATTERS
$63B IN PREDICTION MARKETS
The fastest-growing signal source in finance — but raw probabilities don't tell a portfolio manager which assets move, by how much, or why.
SIGNAL TO TRADE THESIS
Causal linkage models fuse prediction markets, live media, and proprietary data into actionable intelligence — in seconds.
A DECADE OF RESEARCH
40+ peer-reviewed publications, computational social science meets interpretable AI. Not black-box predictions — causal chains you can read.
01 / The Team
MEET THE TEAM
No. 01Co-Founder
Herbert Chang
Assistant Professor at Dartmouth College (Quantitative Social Science, Math, CS). Forbes Under 30 in Science.
No. 02Co-Founder
Veer Podder
Master of finance at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy; Teaching Fellow at Harvard University.
No. 03Co-Founder
Ashley Lo
Master of International Finance at The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy; former award-winning investigative journalist.
02 / Products
Software and Hardware
Full suite across secure news ingestion and rapid analytics.
No. 01Software for Polymarket Trade Analytics
StormLedger
Synthesis of legacy media and social media news feeds, building AI-augmented and machine learning driven data analysis.
No. 02Terminals for Geopolitical Risk Assessment
Sable
Secure terminals with one-way data flow for clean-room analytics.